NFL Coach of the Year 2022: Matt Eberflus Odds, Favorites to Win and Predictions – NBC Chicago | Hot Mobile Press

Matt Eberflu’s NFL Coach of the Year Odds and Price Predictions originally appeared on NBC Sports Chicago

The NFL head coach’s carousel seemingly never stopped this offseason, as nine new coaches filled vacancies in cities ranging from lush Miami to frigid Minnesota.

Some of those names are familiar to football fans – Lovie Smith, Doug Pederson, Dennis Allen and Josh McDaniels – while five of the newcomers are first-time head coaches in the NFL.

These newcomers are the Denver Broncos’ Nathaniel Hackett, the New York Giants’ Brian Daboll, the Miami Dolphins’ Mike McDaniel, the Chicago Bears’ HC Matt Eberflus and the Minnesota Vikings’ Kevin O’Connell.

Let’s take a look at where the rookie head coaches are stacking up against some of the tougher competitors for the 2022 NFL Coach of the Year award.

Who is the favorite for NFL Coach of the Year 2022?

Chargers coach Brandon Staley enters his second year at the helm in Los Angeles, with QB Justin Herbert at center and the odds favorite to win Coach of the Year. Expectations are high for the Chargers despite playing in the NFL’s most competitive league, the AFC West.

After Staley, his fellow sophomore coach is Nick Sirianni, who brought the Philadelphia Eagles into the postseason in his first season in the City of Brotherly Love.

A quadrant of new NFL coaches — Hackett, Daboll, Pederson, McDaniels — find themselves with some of the lowest odds for the honors.

According to our partner PointsBet, here are all 32 coaches heading into the 2022 NFL season:

  • Brandon Staley (Chargers) +1400
  • Nick Sirianni (Eagle) +1500
  • Nathaniel Hackett (Broncos) +1600
  • Kyle Shanahan (49ers) +1600
  • Brian Daboll (giants) +1600
  • Doug Pederson (Jaguars) +1600
  • Josh McDaniels (Robber) +1800
  • John Harbaugh (Ravens) +1800
  • Frank Reich (stallions) +2000
  • Todd Bowles (Bucs) +2000
  • Mike McDaniel (Dolphins) +2000
  • Kevin O’Connell (Vikings) +2000
  • Dan Campbell (Lions) +2000
  • Sean McDermott (Bills) +2200
  • Kevin Stefanski (Browns) +2200
  • Bill Belichick (Patriots) +2200
  • Mike Vrabel (Titans) +2500
  • Andy Reid (boss) +2500
  • Sean McVay (Rams) +2500
  • Zac Taylor (Bengal) +2500
  • Matt LaFleur (Packer) +2500
  • Dennis Allen (Saints) +2500
  • Robert Saleh (Jets) +3000
  • Cliff Kingsbury (Cardinals) +3000
  • Mike Tomlin (Steelers) +3000
  • Ron Rivera (Commanders) +3300
  • Matt Rhule (Panther) +4000
  • Mike McCarthy (Cowboys) +4000
  • Matt Eberflus (Bears) +4000
  • Arthur Smith (Hawks) +5000
  • Lovie Smith (Texan) +5000
  • Pete Carroll (Seahawks) +6600

Which current NFL coaches have won Coach of the Year?

Six current NFL coaches have won the award: Andy Reid, Bill Belichick, Ron Rivera, John Harbaugh, Kevin Stefanski and Mike Vrabel.

Belichick is a three-time winner, while Rivera took home the award twice with the Carolina Panthers before recently leading the Washington Commanders. Reid’s only win came 20 years ago in 2002 with the Eagles.

Harbaugh, Stefanski and Vrabel have each won the award in the past three years.

Who Will Be 2022 NFL Coach of the Year?

Kyle Shanahan has the most to gain — and the most to lose — among his peers in the head coaching circles this season. Shanahan has ousted reliable Jimmy Garoppolo, the starting quarterback who led the San Francisco 49ers to Super Bowl LIV and the 2022 NFC Championship Game, in favor of sophomore pro Trey Lance.

It’s a huge gamble that could pay off in many different ways for the franchise, including Shanahan’s recognition as Coach of the Year.

When Lance shines and becomes the next Patrick Mahomes or Josh Allen, that achievement is credited to his head coach. When Lance is fluttering and struggling with accuracy, Shanahan’s +1600 odds look downright ridiculous compared to some others in the field.

Let’s take a look at the board to see if there’s any value behind Shanahan.

Longshot Coach of the Year predictions

Detroit head coach Dan Campbell is one of my favorite players in this category going into preseason at 20 to 1. First off, it’s a media award, and Campbell has drawn reporters like a magnet since taking the podium at his inaugural press conference in January 2021.

The No-Quit Lions have relatively low expectations for entering 2022 — and an even worse story when it comes to making the NFL playoffs. Translation: All this team has to do to make Campbell an automatic favorite for this award is do what most fans think is impossible and make it through the postseason for the first time since 2016.

A long shot? Sure, but again it comes at a price of 20 to 1. The return on a bet for the Lions to make the playoffs at PointsBet is +375. One number is much larger than the other.

Two other long shots I like: Mike McDaniel (same odds as Campbell) and Robert Saleh at 30-to-1. These two AFC East coaches face stiff competition, with the Buffalo Bills being favorites to this year’s Super Bowl and the New England Patriots, led by Hall of Famer Belichick, guaranteed to be competitive.

Nonetheless, any sort of injury to Bill’s QB Josh Allen or signal caller Mac Jones sophomore for New England could have a snowball effect on this division. Yes, it’s not out of the question that McDaniel, a coordinator responsible for producing the highest yards after receiving the catch for four straight seasons, is just a seasoned coach and the perfect mind to infuse Tyreek Hill into Miami Offense.

Also in McDaniel’s favor for this award, three of the last five NFL Coach of the Year winners were first-time coaches (McVay, Matt Nagy, and Stefanski). Of all the first-year coaches in 2022, McDaniel was arguably handed the biggest QB handicap at Tua Tagovailoa. If he can get the offense buzzing with Tua, then this bet has tremendous value.

Finally, Saleh has a case similar to Campbell’s. If his New York Jets pulled off an — unfathomable — miracle run in the 2022 postseason, he’s a shoe for that honor. The sophomore coach has QB Zach Wilson at center and a bevy of young players at the skill position, but New York will only go as far as Saleh’s defensive wits will take them. Can he find a way to slow down Allen or limit Hill’s explosiveness? At the beginning of the season it seems questionable.

Like Detroit, the Jets have a good chance of being a playoff team in 2022 (6-to-1). It’s an attractive number. But with all that being said, I’d rather be spinning the roulette wheel 30-to-1 and hoping that the coach who led San Francisco’s defense to the Super Bowl just three seasons ago is able to do magic in the Big Apple.

Editor’s Note: All odds are provided by our partner PointsBet. PointsBet is our official sports betting partner and we may receive compensation the first time you place a bet at PointsBet after clicking on our links.

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